“ Until this spring, one had never noted mortality related to a highly pathogenic virus influenza in the avifauna ” could one read in a technical note of the union (French) of the federations of hunting on the avian flu (August 30th, 2005). Actually, the chroniclers of the past quote many examples of brutal and important mortalities of birds. Some of them seem to be able to be ascribable to the highly pathogenic avian flu or the Maladie of Newcastle. The virus grippal can (according to the stocks and sub-types considered and the immunizing history of the populations that it infects) touch the birds, the Man and/or other mammals. It is thus delicate to try to make of it the human history or animal. This article rather has as an aim the history of epizooties, while announcing the moments when a virus with characteristics epidemic or pandemic could have passed from the animal to the Man or conversely.
the ecoepidemiologic history of the grippaux viruses is complex and delicate because ;
Ancient or medieval descriptions thus do not make it possible to identify the avian plague with certainty. The chroniclers however kept the trace of sometimes impressive epizooties whose retrospective study can be useful for the comprehension of the ecoepidemiology of the influenza with Influenza virus has, B or C.
If these diseases were described better than of the avian diseases, one can see several reasons there:
Remark : The pigeons were also important for the armies. They by this way could contribute to make circulate the parasites and pathogenic. (see on this subject the article Pigeon of 1914-1918)
These indices reported to some recoveries, especially in Europe at the XVIIe century and more still at the XVIIIe century let think than of the very large quantities of birds were touched by these epizooties.
Ainsi in 571 in “ has General Chronological History off the Air ” one reads that “ on September 24th, there be a large combat and a hecatomb of wild birds ”.
In 1366, in England, according to Short, one supposed avian war would have opposed sparrows, and causes a human epidemic: “ this year, occurred also a great quarrel between sparrows, which turned in an arranged battle during which innumerable combatants lost the life. It followed from there an important mortality at the human beings, of which much was found died the morning, whereas they had lain down in good health the day before ” (2).
In Italy, the chroniclers describe a generalized war opposing this time of many species of birds, followed by a stink such as the inhabitants temporarily had to leave the area. (One can be certain only it acts of the avian plague, but of important mortalities the chronicles of these times marked).
In these last cases, the highly pathogenic bird influenza can be suspectée within sight of the symptoms and certain ecoepidemiologic characteristics, in particular with epizooty starting in geese or the ducks which one knows today that they are very likely with the virus. The swan seems or little not evoked, but perhaps its populations were they already decimated by hunting.). In two cases, the chroniclers themselves note a concomitance between avian epizooty and human epidemic;
The avian origin of pandemias is itself only one assumption, that Barbara Dufour, veterinary surgeon, have on France-culture in 2005 presented like most probable (following restockings with human virus, possibly - it is still an assumption here - via the pig).
In 2003, FAO recalled already: “No obviousness up to now indicates that the wild birds are the source of these epizootic eruptions of the highly pathogenic virus of avian flu H5N1. The wild birds should not be eliminated”. This message was pointed out many times.
Some however readily and a little quickly accused into 2004/2005 the migratory birds like principal vector of diffusion of Virus H5N1 HP, but that was not and remains only one plausible assumption, to show. One was unaware of still at the end of 2005 if the birds could carry at long distances the highly pathogenic virus. (On the affected areas, the birds captured around the dead birds were not carrying the H5N1, and one then found few carrying wild birds, even none on the migratory main roads).
at the beginning of 2006, the share of responsibility for migrating is still not clear.
The extensions observed in Thailand and in Vietnam, then in Africa, and Romania in June 2006 more clearly seem to show the human transport of the poultry or the traffics of birds (displacement licit or illicit of animals from time immemorial was a major factor of propagation of epizooties. The wild birds are the natural basin of the grippaux viruses, but generally slightly pathogenic). Epizooties seem to develop along the roads, even railways (Transsibérien), more than along the axes of avian migration, and with the dates their correspondent. FAO spent 2006 concluded that the independent factor of risk was rather the industrial avicolous breeding and the transport of poultries or by-products contaminated.
Even epizooties of the Middle Ages and posterior could to some extent at least be related to human activities (cf breeding, transport of the virus by the poultries and the armies, use of animal and human excrements contaminated like manure, absence of treatment of waste water before rejection in the medium, avian solid masses displacement of populations following the great drainings of peat bogs, marshes and valleys wet, etc).
When the Chinese scientists described the avian flu in a natural reserve, the Chinese authorities initially denied, as they did for the SARS. The avicolous sector did not call in question some practical at the risk (use of droppings, feathers, transport of chicks or ducklings without sufficient measurements of biosecurity, hypersélection, impoverishment genetics, etc).
In the recent past, the epidemic i.e. the diffusion (and not appearance of pathogenic) almost always seems to be able to be related to the human activity (voyages, activity, trade, traffic, food, sexual, of breeding or commercial practices at the risk, penetration of the primary forests, introduction of species or transgenes…).
The study of human corpses preserved in the cold grounds, or of the parts of autopsies preserved in paraffin did not make it possible yet to know with certainty the origin of the Spanish flu virus, but the available data (several variable of the reconstituted virus pandemic) let think that virus H1N1 of 1918 could be directly last of the bird to the man before being transported in particular by the military troops in the world).
One does not know where the virus hides between the episodes of epidemics. For the bird flu, an assumption is that a permanent reserve of virus is maintained in north where it can be preserved in the cold, in cold water several lasting month (not of UV at the time of the long polar night).
The migratory birds are infected when they are in North in summer (ex 25%) but the same population of birds arrived in the south in winter does not carry almost any more a virus. (The carriers died before arriving and/or the birds cured).
The virus is famous evil to preserve itself “in warm water and brackish and salted water; it is preserved well in fresh water and in the cold” Barbara Dufour (2005) says.
It is urgent to include/understand the ecology of the virus for better protecting themselves some, but without forgetting that the context of 2006 is not comparable any more even with that of the last pandemia; Thus, in 1968, there was in China:
The industrial breeding, intensive and mondialized of chickens, turkeys, geese and ducks genetically very close now offers an ideal compost of culture for the bird flus.
The weight of the populations and their relative richness by continent and country has evolved/moved much for two centuries.
The emergent diseases and nosocomiales gained much in importance since 1968. The AIDS, from its effects on immunity seems to be able to accelerate a pandemia.
Only the rich countries can cut down tens of million chickens of a blow, without socio-economic crisis or impacts on the health of people.
One thus aims vaccination, but like last barrier: “To vaccinate is to abdicate”, because is probably to preserve the virus for very a long time, and that forces to vaccinate without stop each new generation of chicken (does one Want, can one and must one vaccinate 13 billion chickens several times per annum at a rate of approximately 1 euro per chicken?), in addition, at mid the 2006, the vaccine-prototype is only not very effective and cannot be produced in sufficient quantity to vaccinate more than 1,5% of the planetary population.
One cannot in addition reasonably consider a final world eradication in particular because of the natural basin which are immense and of the high capacity of adaptation of the grippaux viruses.
The specialists point out that according to the virus or sub-type in question, according to the nature of the epidemic or pandemia, various human groups will be more or less affected: In 1918 and 1919, the Spanish influenza made hecatombs in the peaceful one (not of immunity to the virus). And in Europe mortality instead of a curve in “U” had the shape of “W” with an intermediate peak of mortality of young people of 15-25 years. And mortality was very abnormally higher at the men compared to the women. (note: the woman has a more effective immunity, but pays it by the autoimmune diseases which touch it: more 80% of the victims of these diseases are women).
Primary source: French radio broadcast of FRANCE-CULTURE which invited us on September 27th, 2005 to go up in time to clarify the situation of 2005. While leaving (and while speaking) in any case initially about the plague of the birds.
With (thank you with them):
More: 1. Blancou J. - History of the monitoring and the control of the transmissible animal diseases. International office of epizooties, Paris, 2000,366 p.
2. Fleming G. - Animal plagues: to their history, natural and prevention. London, Chapman and Hall, 1871,548 p.
3. Heusinger c.f. Searchs for compared pathology - Cassel at H. Hotop; vol. I, 1853,674 p. and vol. II, 1853, DXLIX p.
4. Marr J.S. & Callisbert C.H. - “Alexander the Great and Wets Nile Virus Encephalitis” Emerg.Infect.Dis., 2003,9:1599 -1603.
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